Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.998142 2.084718 2.174016 2.273228 2.380643 2.493730 2.622182
2025-12-07 1.823373 1.942736 2.070545 2.218393 2.385757 2.570608 2.792014
2025-12-14 1.677541 1.815618 1.967721 2.149309 2.362395 2.607379 2.914700
2025-12-21 1.597158 1.752991 1.929109 2.145600 2.408499 2.722919 3.136442
2025-12-28 1.545923 1.718378 1.917904 2.169970 2.486319 2.879767 3.423079
2026-01-04 1.473309 1.653007 1.864567 2.137435 2.488756 2.939557 3.587665
2026-01-11 1.429724 1.619035 1.845834 2.144601 2.539623 3.063654 3.851267
2026-01-18 1.398448 1.597609 1.840227 2.166470 2.609356 3.217173 4.174644
2026-01-25 1.354107 1.557312 1.808036 2.150593 2.625422 3.295214 4.392576
2026-02-01 1.306485 1.510522 1.764849 2.116827 2.613112 3.329403 4.543219
2026-02-08 1.248183 1.447844 1.698290 2.047699 2.545705 3.275122 4.538812
2026-02-15 1.210366 1.409983 1.662454 2.018443 2.533173 3.302189 4.675673
2026-02-22 1.180396 1.383217 1.642704 2.014080 2.562153 3.404879 4.980002
2026-03-01 1.144826 1.348056 1.610544 1.990912 2.562055 3.462341 5.214715
2026-03-08 1.103278 1.303684 1.564307 1.945416 2.525034 3.455882 5.325379
2026-03-15 1.082055 1.285442 1.552735 1.949117 2.564140 3.581642 5.733143
2026-03-22 1.069434 1.278083 1.555567 1.973712 2.637758 3.775947 6.341910
2026-03-29 1.041056 1.248421 1.526079 1.948380 2.628223 3.818447 6.610972
2026-04-05 1.025030 1.234956 1.518678 1.955778 2.673019 3.967353 7.189548
2026-04-12 1.013718 1.227461 1.519262 1.975141 2.739174 4.166124 7.978094
2026-04-19 0.993240 1.206591 1.499779 1.962064 2.747850 4.250238 8.471255
2026-04-26 0.969279 1.180191 1.471375 1.933522 2.727070 4.270432 8.774414
2026-05-03 0.937499 1.142128 1.424954 1.874547 2.648444 4.159899 8.612766